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University:  George Washington University - GWU

Greek Organization:  Kappa Alpha Theta

Author:  Math

Comment:  So Theta took 88 girls with their first PC. If they only had 2 seniors graduate, and rumored 6/7 girls dropped or transferred, that puts them at around 80 girls at the start of this year. Judging by photos on their social media, they took 8 new members through COB. Total was set at 116 for the semester. Keep in mind, they're not under any obligation by GW Panhel to reach total, because some other chapters also aren't at total and have elected not to COB. Did 6/7 girls drop? Did they not extend bids to everyone who came to their events? None of us can know unless we're in Theta. However, this gets tricky with formal recruitment in the spring. RFM is based on historical return rates over the past four years, meaning the number each chapter is allowed to invite back each night is the average of their return rates for four years. Theta does not have any return rates, so they will have to invite back the maximum number of girls each night, which excludes grade risks but not much else. Quota in formal recruitment is based off of the number of PNMs attending prefs divided by the number of houses. If Theta's total is now at 88 and they don't extend any more bids this semester, they will need to extend far more bids than the other chapters to reach total. Between this and essentially needing to invite every PNM back each round, the next recruitment does not look bright for Theta.
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