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Panhellenic tells each chapter the exact number of girls they have to cut. That is why it is so hard for every house to decide. The largest round of cuts is the first round, they get smaller the closer you get to pref. The longer you keep a house, the greater your odds of making it. That is why everyone should take recruitment all the way to pref night if they have houses left. If they keep you into house tour even, they really like you.